Polls show volatility

Results of Hawaii polls released this weekend indicate that 2014 could be a wild year in politics in the state.

According to the Star-Advertiser, Congresswoman Colleen Hanabusa currently has an 8-percentage-point lead in her bid to unseat incumbent U.S. Sen. Brian Schatz. The poll revealed that Hanabusa had a 48 percent to 40 percent edge over Schatz among likely voters in the 2014 Democratic primary.

Another poll showed former Republican Lt. Gov. James “Duke” Aiona leading Gov. Neil Abercrombie by the same margin – 48 percent to 40 percent – if the two matched up in a race for governor.

Abercrombie handily beat Aiona head to head in the 2010 race.

The sitting governor is also facing a challenge from within his own party. State Sen. David Ige faces Abercrombie in the Democratic primary and currently trails the governor by nine points, 47 percent to 38 percent.

An Independent run for governor by former Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann could further complicate the race. The poll found that 39 percent of respondents would consider voting for Hannemann in a three-way race.

The former mayor told Hawaii News Now that would be enough to win if there were three participants in the general election.

While these polls are early in the election cycle, they do indicate how volatile this year’s races may be.

* Editorials reflect the opinion of the publisher.