Less active hurricane season predicted

But scientists and mayor urge people to remain prepared

Scientists are predicting a near- or below-normal hurricane season this year, but are also reminding people to be prepared.

For this hurricane season in the Central Pacific, which runs from June 1 through Nov. 30, two to six tropical cyclones are predicted for the Central Pacific hurricane region, according to a Central Pacific Hurricane Center season outlook Wednesday.

The numbers include tropical depressions, named storms and hurricanes. A near-normal season has four or five tropical cyclones.

“Less activity is predicted since ocean temperatures are likely to be near-average in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean where hurricanes form and because El Nino is not present to increase the activity,” said Gerry Bell, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at the Climate Prediction Center.

The outlook is a general guide to the overall seasonal tropical cyclone activity in the Central Pacific basin and does not predict whether, or how many, of these systems will affect Hawaii, according to a news release.

“Regardless the number of tropical cyclones predicted, this outlook serves as a reminder to everyone in the state of Hawaii to prepare now,” said Chris Brenchley, director of NOAA’s Central Pacific Hurricane Center. “Learn about hurricane hazards and where to find our forecasts, then make a plan so that you and your family stay healthy and safe.”

At his news conference Wednesday afternoon, Mayor Michael Victorino also urged Maui County residents to begin replenishing their supplies that they might have used up during the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

He also urged that people have enough prescriptions on hand as people may have been avoiding going to a doctor due the virus.

According to the National Weather Service website, the list of preparedness supplies has changed this hurricane season since the COVID-19 pandemic.


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